Is It El Nino Or La Nina 2024 Season. But that doesn’t necessarily mean an active season. There’s a 70 percent chance that la niña develops between august and october, and a nearly 8 in 10 chance that la niña is in place this winter, national oceanic and atmospheric administration.

So, more storms could develop this year without el niño holding them back. Climate prediction center (cpc) said, with la niña conditions expected to persist through early next.